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Tuesday, February 28, 2012

Five Best: Oscar 2013 Bets

Tom Hardy as Bane in "The Dark Knight Rises"
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Now that 2012's Oscars are behind us, let's look forward to next year! During this lull in the movie release time, let's look at the films that will be released in the coming year and the ones that I would recommend you put money down on right now. Five categories - five movies that have yet to be released, but have the odds in their favor for being recognized as nominees in 2013. I'm not betting these will necessarily win, but at this point, I'm pretty sure they'll be nominated.

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Best Costume Design

Anna Karenina

Why? Costume designer Jacqueline Durran worked with director Joe Wright previously on a few films, including 2007's Atonement, for which she was nominated for this Oscar. Before that, she worked with Wright on another period film, Pride and Prejudice.

I could be wrong if... the movie isn't loved. Wright is coming off of a turn to action films with Hanna, which was preceded by the weighty, saccharine The Soloist. If Wright has lost his feel for period dramas, the same could befall this sure nomination.
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Best Animated Feature


Why? It's Pixar for God's sake. It's a behemoth production studio finally putting a female lead at the forefront. It's a story with historical context, action, and much different than what they usually do.

I could be wrong if... they laid quite a stinker in 2012 with Cars 2, not getting a nomination. Could it be a sign of the tiring of the studio?
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Best Adapted Screenplay

The Great Gatsby * - release date pushed to 2013; won't qualify

Why? It's one of the most beloved novels of all time and will produce a big, surely blockbuster film. Put Baz Luhrmann at the helm and it will certainly be a stylish film, especially with a cast including Leonardo DiCaprio, Tobey Maguire, Joel Edgerton, and Carey Mulligan.

I could be wrong if... Luhrmann repeats the epic failure Australia. A big movie with a big budget that crashed and burned. It's already weird that it will be in 3-D.
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Best Original Screenplay

Django Unchained

Why? This is probably the least sure of this group, but quality Tarantino films always get, at the very least, a screenplay nomination. It's a foray into spaghetti Western, which is a little outside the box, but should still have the dialogue and story to garner a nod.

I could be wrong if... it's a little too raw. He's only actually been nominated twice for writing, the last one coming with Inglourious Basterds in 2010. So, if the film goes more for the big money action and tribute filmmaking, a la Kill Bill (which is still great), it may be ignored.
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Best Actor in a Leading Role

Daniel Day Lewis for Lincoln

Why? He's possibly the most talented actor of his generation and always pulls a nomination when he is the main focus of the film. Plus, he's being directed by Steven Spielberg as one of the most important men in the history of the country.

I could be wrong if... the film levels itself in War Horse territory. Recently,Spielberg has opted for much more melodramatic filmmaking and, if this movie veers into that territory, Day Lewis may not get the accolades he deserves.

So, you wagering folks can thank me later.

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